SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 2

UCUCC

12:00Sun 1 Nov

AND

UC Ceares vs Andes CF

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 2, Group 2 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. UC Ceares are 15th on 5 points after 8 games, level on points with Astur, level on points with L'Entregu. A win would take them above Astur. Andes CF are 18th on 3 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Llanes. A win would take them above Llanes.

Form. UC Ceares have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L. Andes CF have won none, drawn three and lost five of their last eight, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L. In this competition Andes CF have gone D D L L L D.

The numbers. UC Ceares score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. UC Ceares average 4.4 shots (2.5 on target), 1.6 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Andes CF score 0.8 and concede 1.9 a game over their last eight, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Andes CF average 1.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 76% against the records' 50%.

The read. No firm call: UC Ceares are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make UC Ceares the likelier winners; UC Ceares are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour UC Ceares. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: UC Ceares 2-1 Andes CF (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UCC 5 of 5 (100%) · AND 8 of 8 (100%)98.3%

UC Ceares: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Andes CF: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Andes CF's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.20

UCC 4 of 5 (80%) · AND 7 of 8 (88%)83.8%

UC Ceares: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Andes CF: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Andes CF's level

UC CEARES GOALS

UC Ceares Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UCC 4 of 5 (80%) · AND 8 of 8 (100%)88.3%

UC Ceares scored in 4 of 5 at home · Andes CF conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Andes CF's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

UC Ceares goals →

Andes CF goals ↓

0-06%

1-09%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.9%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11.0%

0-23%

1-26%

2-26%

3-23%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.6%

5-30.2%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.6%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

UC CEARESWWWLLLLDLD1.10 PPG

ANDES CFLLDLLLDD0.38 PPG

THE NUMBERS

UC CEARES HOMExANDES CF AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME0.751.40CONCEDED A GAME1.8830%CLEAN SHEETS0%38%FAILED TO SCORE50%1.62CORNERS A GAME1.003.12CARDS A GAME3.00

TRENDS

UC Ceares have scored in 70% of their games.

Andes CF have scored in 50% of their games.

UC Ceares kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Andes CF kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards