Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 18, Group 18 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Villarrubia CF are 13th on 7 points after 8 games, 4 points behind Almansa, level on points with Socuéllamos. UD Socuellamos CF are 14th on 7 points after 8 games, level on points with Villarrubia, level on points with Huracán Balazote. A win would take them above Villarrubia.
Form. Villarrubia CF have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. UD Socuellamos CF have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D L.
The numbers. Villarrubia CF score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Villarrubia CF average 13.6 shots (4.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. UD Socuellamos CF score 0.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. UD Socuellamos CF average 13.5 shots (4.5 on target), 7.2 corners and 4.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Villarrubia CF have won three, drawn one and lost two. One of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Villarrubia CF won two, one was drawn and UD Socuellamos CF won one. The last time they met, on 4 May 2025, it finished Villarrubia CF 1-2 UD Socuellamos CF.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%. Five of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.22, 83% on the records (Villarrubia CF: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; UD Socuellamos CF: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8). Leave: Villarrubia CF or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); UD Socuellamos CF or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Villarrubia CF 1-1 UD Socuellamos CF (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).