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CD Mostoles URJC vs Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 7, Group 7 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 11:45 Lagos time.

What's at stake. CD Mostoles URJC are 1st on 17 points after 8 games, level on points with Colonia Moscardó. Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas are 12th on 8 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Fuenlabrada, 1 point clear of Alcobendas Sport. A win would take them above Fuenlabrada.

Form. CD Mostoles URJC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas have won two, drawn two and lost four of their last eight, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. In this competition Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas have gone L L L L W D.

The numbers. CD Mostoles URJC score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CD Mostoles URJC average 13.7 shots (5.6 on target), 4.7 corners and 3.6 cards a game. Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas score 1.8 and concede 2.1 a game over their last eight, with no clean sheets. Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas average 9.1 shots (4.4 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 67% against the records' 47%.

The read. No firm call: CD Mostoles URJC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Mostoles URJC the likelier winners; CD Mostoles URJC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Mostoles URJC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); CD Mostoles URJC Over 1.5 goals (CD Mostoles URJC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: CD Mostoles URJC 2-1 Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CD Mostoles URJC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDM 4 of 5 (80%) · RAY 8 of 8 (100%)91.7%
CD Mostoles URJC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · CD Mostoles URJC: only games against sides at Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas's level
CD Mostoles URJC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDM 4 of 5 (80%) · RAY 8 of 8 (100%)91.7%
CD Mostoles URJC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · CD Mostoles URJC: only games against sides at Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas's level
CD Mostoles URJC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDM 4 of 5 (80%) · RAY 8 of 9 (89%)85.5%
CD Mostoles URJC scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas trailed or failed to win in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mostoles URJC: only games against sides at Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas's level
Double Chance: CD Mostoles URJC or DrawIN CODES
1.14
CDM 4 of 5 (80%) · RAY 6 of 8 (75%)77.5%
CD Mostoles URJC unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas failed to win 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · CD Mostoles URJC: only games against sides at Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas's level
CD Mostoles URJC 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDM 3 of 5 (60%) · RAY 6 of 9 (67%)71.4%
CD Mostoles URJC scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas trailed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mostoles URJC: only games against sides at Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas's level
CD Mostoles URJC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDM 3 of 5 (60%) · RAY 6 of 8 (75%)69.2%
CD Mostoles URJC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · CD Mostoles URJC: only games against sides at Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas's level
CD Mostoles URJC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.19
CDM 5 of 7 (71%) · RAY 4 of 6 (67%)69%
CD Mostoles URJC won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas lost 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · CD Mostoles URJC: only games against sides at Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas's level · won 5, refunded 3, lost 1
CD Mostoles URJC or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDM 2 of 5 (40%) · RAY 6 of 8 (75%)59.2%
CD Mostoles URJC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · CD Mostoles URJC: only games against sides at Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDM 4 of 5 (80%) · RAY 8 of 8 (100%)91.7%
CD Mostoles URJC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · CD Mostoles URJC: only games against sides at Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
CDM 3 of 5 (60%) · RAY 8 of 8 (100%)81.7%
CD Mostoles URJC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · CD Mostoles URJC: only games against sides at Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
CDM 2 of 5 (40%) · RAY 6 of 8 (75%)59.2%
CD Mostoles URJC: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · CD Mostoles URJC: only games against sides at Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas's level
CD MOSTOLES URJC GOALS
CD Mostoles URJC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDM 4 of 5 (80%) · RAY 8 of 8 (100%)91.7%
CD Mostoles URJC scored in 4 of 5 at home · Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · CD Mostoles URJC: only games against sides at Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); CD Mostoles URJC Over 1.5 goals (CD Mostoles URJC's own games don't back it (2 of 5))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.1%
CD Mostoles URJC goals →
Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas goals ↓
0-04%
1-06%
2-06%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-15%
1-110%
2-19%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11.0%
0-24%
1-27%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-32%
1-34%
2-33%
3-32%
4-31.0%
5-30.4%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.8%
4-40.4%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.4%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
CD MOSTOLES URJCLDDWWWDLWW1.80 PPG
RAYO CIUDAD ALCOBENDASWDDWLLLL1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD MOSTOLES URJC HOMExRAYO CIUDAD ALCOBENDAS AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME1.751.10CONCEDED A GAME2.1240%CLEAN SHEETS0%12%FAILED TO SCORE12%4.67CORNERS A GAME3.753.56CARDS A GAME2.50
TRENDS
CD Mostoles URJC have scored in 90% of their games.
Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas have scored in 88% of their games.
CD Mostoles URJC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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