MHMFK

10:15Sun 1 Nov

FKH

MFK Havirov vs FK Hodonin

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. MSFL, MSFL - 14. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 10:15 Lagos time. It is played at Mestsky fotbalovy areal Havirov.

What's at stake. MFK Havirov are 15th on 11 points after 14 games, 6 points behind Vrchovina, level on points with Blansko. FK Hodonin are 12th on 17 points after 14 games, 2 points behind Zlín II, level on points with Karviná II. A win would take them above Zlín II.

Form. MFK Havirov have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. In this competition MFK Havirov have gone L W W D L D. FK Hodonin have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. In this competition FK Hodonin have gone L L W W W W.

The numbers. MFK Havirov score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. MFK Havirov average 5.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game. FK Hodonin score 1.5 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. FK Hodonin average 6.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

The case against. MFK Havirov's record still gives them 42% to win.

The read. FK Hodonin to win. A tight game. FK Hodonin are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Hodonin. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Hodonin or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FK Hodonin or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: MFK Havirov 0-1 FK Hodonin (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FK Hodonin (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.48

MFK 5 of 10 (50%) · FKH 5 of 7 (71%)70.5%

FK Hodonin won 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · MFK Havirov lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 61% · FK Hodonin: only games against sides at MFK Havirov's level · MFK Havirov: only games against sides at FK Hodonin's level · won 4, refunded 1, lost 4

FK Hodonin or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MFK 8 of 10 (80%) · FKH 3 of 5 (60%)69%

FK Hodonin: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · MFK Havirov: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · FK Hodonin: only games against sides at MFK Havirov's level · MFK Havirov: only games against sides at FK Hodonin's level

FK Hodonin or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MFK 3 of 5 (60%) · FKH 5 of 10 (50%)56.7%

FK Hodonin scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · MFK Havirov trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 at home

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MFK 5 of 5 (100%) · FKH 10 of 10 (100%)100%

MFK Havirov: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FK Hodonin: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · MFK Havirov: only games against sides at FK Hodonin's level · FK Hodonin: only games against sides at MFK Havirov's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.21

MFK 5 of 5 (100%) · FKH 8 of 10 (80%)91.2%

MFK Havirov: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FK Hodonin: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · MFK Havirov: only games against sides at FK Hodonin's level · FK Hodonin: only games against sides at MFK Havirov's level

MFK HAVIROV GOALS

MFK Havirov Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

MFK 3 of 5 (60%) · FKH 7 of 10 (70%)64.6%

MFK Havirov scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · FK Hodonin conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · MFK Havirov: only games against sides at FK Hodonin's level · FK Hodonin: only games against sides at MFK Havirov's level

FK HODONIN GOALS

FK Hodonin Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MFK 7 of 10 (70%) · FKH 3 of 5 (60%)70.9%

FK Hodonin scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · MFK Havirov conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · FK Hodonin: only games against sides at MFK Havirov's level · MFK Havirov: only games against sides at FK Hodonin's level

Left off the list: FK Hodonin or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FK Hodonin or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 10%

MFK Havirov goals →

FK Hodonin goals ↓

0-09%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

MFK HAVIROVLLLDDLDWWL0.90 PPG

FK HODONINLWLLWWWWLL1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MFK HAVIROV HOMExFK HODONIN AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.501.30CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS40%57%FAILED TO SCORE29%5.25CORNERS A GAME6.432.08CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

MFK Havirov have scored in 30% of their games.

FK Hodonin have scored in 70% of their games.

MFK Havirov kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

FK Hodonin kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards