INAC Kobe Leonessa vs Bam Khatoon FC
Match details. AFC Women's Champions League. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 09:30 Lagos time.
Form. INAC Kobe Leonessa have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D D. Bam Khatoon FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. INAC Kobe Leonessa score 1.5 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. INAC Kobe Leonessa average 14.3 shots (6.4 on target), 4.9 corners and 0.4 cards a game. Bam Khatoon FC score 0.8 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Bam Khatoon FC average 3.5 shots (2.2 on target), 1.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 4% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: Bam Khatoon FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Bam Khatoon FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bam Khatoon FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: INAC Kobe Leonessa 2-1 Bam Khatoon FC (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Bam Khatoon FC the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. The Champions League: the best against the best, and the two league tables cannot be compared. Too few continental games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).