Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Dunbeholden FC are 12th on 3 points after 7 games, 3 points behind Molynes United, 1 point clear of Treasure Beach. A win would take them level on points with Molynes United. Humble Lions FC are 14th on 2 points after 7 games, level on points with Treasure Beach. A win would take them above Treasure Beach.
Form. Dunbeholden FC have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. Humble Lions FC have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L.
The numbers. Dunbeholden FC score 0.2 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and eight games without a goal. Dunbeholden FC average 6.0 shots (2.8 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Humble Lions FC score 0.6 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Humble Lions FC average 3.3 shots (1.0 on target), 0.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Dunbeholden FC have won four, drawn four and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Dunbeholden FC won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 20 Apr 2025, it finished Dunbeholden FC 1-1 Humble Lions FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Dunbeholden FC 1-1 Humble Lions FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).