Match details. Copa Santa Catarina, Group Stage - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Arena Joinville.
Form. Joinville EC SC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. Metropolitano SC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L W.
The numbers. Joinville EC SC score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Joinville EC SC average 5.2 shots (2.2 on target), 5.8 corners and 3.8 cards a game. Metropolitano SC score 2.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Metropolitano SC average 13.2 shots (5.1 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 13 Mar 2021, it finished Joinville EC SC 1-0 Metropolitano SC.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Joinville EC SC 1-2 Metropolitano SC (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Metropolitano SC the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Joinville EC SC in their last cup games: lost 0-1 at Figueirense FC SC. Metropolitano SC in their last cup games: drew 2-2 v Nacao SC. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).