Young Africans SC vs Kagera Sugar
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Young Africans SC are 3rd on 22 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Azam, 5 points clear of JKT Tanzania. A win would take them above Azam. Kagera Sugar are 15th on 6 points after 10 games, level on points with Pamba Jiji, level on points with Fountain Gate. A win would take them above Pamba Jiji.
Form. Young Africans SC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L. Kagera Sugar have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D. In this competition Kagera Sugar have gone L L D W D L.
The numbers. Young Africans SC score 1.9 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Young Africans SC average 11.7 shots (4.6 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Kagera Sugar score 0.9 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Kagera Sugar average 3.3 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Young Africans SC have won eight, drawn two and lost none. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Young Africans SC won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 1 Feb 2025, it finished Young Africans SC 4-0 Kagera Sugar.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 92% against the records' 68%.
The read. No firm call: Young Africans SC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Young Africans SC the likelier winners; Young Africans SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Young Africans SC; the meetings favour Young Africans SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Young Africans SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Young Africans SC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Young Africans SC 1-1 Kagera Sugar (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).