Inter Lagos FC vs Ranchers Bees
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Inter Lagos FC are 20th on 2 points after 10 games, 6 points behind Enyimba. Ranchers Bees are 18th on 8 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Abia Warriors, level on points with Enyimba. A win would take them above Abia Warriors.
Form. Inter Lagos FC have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition Inter Lagos FC have gone L L L D L D. Ranchers Bees have won two, drawn two and lost five of their last nine, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L. In this competition Ranchers Bees have gone L D L D L W.
The numbers. Inter Lagos FC score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Inter Lagos FC average 3.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Ranchers Bees score 0.8 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Ranchers Bees average 11.5 shots (3.5 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The case against. Inter Lagos FC's record still gives them 44% to win.
The read. Ranchers Bees or the draw. A tight game. Ranchers Bees are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Ranchers Bees or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Inter Lagos FC Under 1.5 goals (Ranchers Bees's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Ranchers Bees or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Inter Lagos FC 1-1 Ranchers Bees (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).