Match details. Campionato Sammarinese, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. SS San Giovanni are 13th on 4 points after 6 games, level on points with Juvenes / Dogana, level on points with Murata. A win would take them above Juvenes / Dogana. SC Faetano are 16th on 3 points after 6 games, level on points with San Marino Academy. A win would take them above San Marino Academy.
Form. SS San Giovanni have won one, drawn one and lost six of their last eight league games, 0.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L W L. SC Faetano have won none, drawn three and lost five of their last eight league games, 0.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L D D L.
The numbers. SS San Giovanni score 0.8 and concede 2.4 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. SS San Giovanni average 4.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game. SC Faetano score 0.1 and concede 2.2 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and seven games without a goal. SC Faetano average 7.3 shots (1.7 on target), 1.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings SS San Giovanni have won four, drawn two and lost four. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, SS San Giovanni won two, one was drawn and SC Faetano won one. The last time they met, on 21 Mar 2026, it finished SS San Giovanni 2-0 SC Faetano.
The case against. SC Faetano's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. SS San Giovanni to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make SS San Giovanni the likelier winners; SS San Giovanni are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SS San Giovanni 1-0 SC Faetano (11% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (SS San Giovanni the favourite), a tight game.
The league run. SS San Giovanni: no win in their last three league games (D L L W L). SC Faetano: no win in their last three league games (D L D D L).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).