SFSSF

15:00Sun 1 Nov

SPT

SS Folgore Falciano Calcio vs SP Tre Penne

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Campionato Sammarinese, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. SS Folgore Falciano Calcio are 2nd on 18 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Virtus, 2 points clear of Tre Fiori. A win would take them above Virtus. SP Tre Penne are 4th on 16 points after 6 games, level on points with Tre Fiori, 3 points clear of Cosmos. A win would take them above Tre Fiori.

Form. SS Folgore Falciano Calcio have won six, drawn none and lost none of their last six league games, 3.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W W W. SP Tre Penne have won five, drawn one and lost none of their last six league games, 2.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W W W.

The numbers. SS Folgore Falciano Calcio score 2.8 and concede 0.5 a game over their last six, with three clean sheets. SS Folgore Falciano Calcio average 13.0 shots (4.5 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. SP Tre Penne score 1.8 and concede 0.3 a game over their last six, with five clean sheets. SP Tre Penne average 12.2 shots (4.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings SS Folgore Falciano Calcio have won one, drawn three and lost five. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, two were drawn and SP Tre Penne won two. The last time they met, on 22 Mar 2026, it finished SS Folgore Falciano Calcio 1-1 SP Tre Penne.

Where it pulls both ways. SS Folgore Falciano Calcio are the form side, but the meetings favour SP Tre Penne: in the last nine meetings, SS Folgore Falciano Calcio won one, SP Tre Penne won five and three were drawn.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SS Folgore Falciano Calcio 1-1 SP Tre Penne (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (SS Folgore Falciano Calcio the favourite), a tight game.

The league run. SS Folgore Falciano Calcio: unbeaten in their last five league games (W W W W W). SP Tre Penne: unbeaten in their last five league games (D W W W W).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSF 7 of 8 (88%) · SPT 8 of 8 (100%)95.6%

SS Folgore Falciano Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Penne: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · SS Folgore Falciano Calcio: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at SS Folgore Falciano Calcio's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSF 6 of 8 (75%) · SPT 7 of 8 (88%)82.5%

SS Folgore Falciano Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Penne: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 6 of 6 · SS Folgore Falciano Calcio: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at SS Folgore Falciano Calcio's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSF 5 of 8 (62%) · SPT 6 of 8 (75%)72.4%

SS Folgore Falciano Calcio: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Penne: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · SS Folgore Falciano Calcio: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at SS Folgore Falciano Calcio's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSF 6 of 8 (75%) · SPT 6 of 8 (75%)77.1%

SS Folgore Falciano Calcio: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Penne: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · SS Folgore Falciano Calcio: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at SS Folgore Falciano Calcio's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); SP Tre Penne or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); SS Folgore Falciano Calcio or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.9%

SS Folgore Falciano… goals →

SP Tre Penne goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SS FOLGORE FALCIANO CALCIOWLWWWWWWWW2.70 PPG

SP TRE PENNELWWWWWWWDW2.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SS FOLGORE FALCIANO CALCIO HOMExSP TRE PENNE AWAY

2.20SCORED A GAME1.900.60CONCEDED A GAME0.6060%CLEAN SHEETS50%0%FAILED TO SCORE17%7.00CORNERS A GAME5.602.00CARDS A GAME2.80

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

PRICE NOT KEPT

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

3.00POINTS A GAME2.67+2.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.50–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–3.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.65LEAGUE GAMES6

SS Folgore Falciano Calcio: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

46%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

70%

NO · 85/90

SS FOLGORE FALCIANO CALCIO OR DRAW

48%

NO · 80/85

SP TRE PENNE OR DRAW

64%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SS FOLGORE FALCIANO CALCIOxSP TRE PENNE

5GAMES53.00SCORED A GAME1.600.60CONCEDED A GAME0.003.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%60%BOTH SCORE0%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

SS FOLGORE FALCIANO CALCIO 1 · 11%DRAW 3SP TRE PENNE 5 · 56%

6 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-12-17SS Folgore Falciano Calcio 2 – 1 SP Tre Penne

2023-04-12SS Folgore Falciano Calcio 0 – 4 SP Tre Penne

2023-12-09SS Folgore Falciano Calcio 0 – 2 SP Tre Penne

2024-03-16SS Folgore Falciano Calcio 1 – 2 SP Tre Penne

2024-11-23SS Folgore Falciano Calcio 1 – 1 SP Tre Penne

2024-11-27SS Folgore Falciano Calcio 0 – 1 SP Tre Penne

2025-03-16SS Folgore Falciano Calcio 1 – 1 SP Tre Penne

2025-11-29SS Folgore Falciano Calcio 1 – 3 SP Tre Penne

TRENDS

SS Folgore Falciano Calcio have scored in 100% of their games.

SP Tre Penne have scored in 80% of their games.

SS Folgore Falciano Calcio kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

SP Tre Penne kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards