Match details. Campionato Sammarinese, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Cosmos Serravalle are 5th on 13 points after 6 games, 3 points behind Tre Penne, level on points with La Fiorita. A win would take them level on points with Tre Penne. FC Fiorentino are 7th on 8 points after 6 games, 5 points behind La Fiorita, level on points with Libertas.
Form. Cosmos Serravalle have won four, drawn one and lost one of their last six league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W W L. FC Fiorentino have won two, drawn two and lost two of their last six league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W L D L.
The numbers. Cosmos Serravalle score 2.3 and concede 0.7 a game over their last six, with three clean sheets. Cosmos Serravalle average 7.8 shots (2.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.5 cards a game. FC Fiorentino score 1.8 and concede one a game over their last six, with two clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Cosmos Serravalle have won five, drawn two and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Cosmos Serravalle won two and FC Fiorentino won two. The last time they met, on 7 Mar 2026, it finished Cosmos Serravalle 0-1 FC Fiorentino.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. FC Fiorentino's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Cosmos Serravalle to win. Their goals for and against make Cosmos Serravalle the likelier winners; Cosmos Serravalle are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cosmos Serravalle.
The bets. Best bet: Cosmos Serravalle or Draw at 1.27, rated 77% (Cosmos Serravalle unbeaten in 7 of 8; FC Fiorentino failed to win 5 of 8). Predicted score: Cosmos Serravalle 1-0 FC Fiorentino (10% chance).
The agreed story. Cosmos Serravalle or the draw, goals in between.
The league run. Cosmos Serravalle: one defeat in their last five league games (W W W W L). FC Fiorentino: up and down in the league (D W L D L).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).