Saronikos Anavisou vs Neas Ionias
Match details. Gamma Ethniki. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Saronikos Anavisou have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Neas Ionias have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L.
The numbers. Saronikos Anavisou score 0.5 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. Saronikos Anavisou average 7.1 shots (2.2 on target), 2.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Neas Ionias score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Neas Ionias average 9.7 shots (2.9 on target), 3.5 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 55%.
The read. No firm call: Neas Ionias are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Neas Ionias are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Neas Ionias. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Saronikos Anavisou Under 1.5 goals (Neas Ionias's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Saronikos Anavisou 1-1 Neas Ionias (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).