Match details. Gamma Ethniki, Group 8 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Aer Afantou are 4th on 11 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Apollon Smirnis, 4 points clear of Diagoras. A win would take them above Apollon Smirnis. Ialissos FC are 11th on 3 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Amfiali, level on points with Apollon Kalyt.. A win would take them above Amfiali.
Form. Aer Afantou have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W. Ialissos FC have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. Aer Afantou score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Aer Afantou average 7.6 shots (1.9 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Ialissos FC score 0.5 and concede two a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Ialissos FC average 4.8 shots (1.5 on target), 1.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Aer Afantou have won none, drawn two and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 21 Apr 2024, it finished Aer Afantou 2-2 Ialissos FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 85% against the records' 51%.
The read. No firm call: Aer Afantou are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Aer Afantou are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Aer Afantou. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.18, 79% on the records (Aer Afantou: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; Ialissos FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Aer Afantou 1-1 Ialissos FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).