Polisi Tanzania FC vs Geita Gold FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ushirika Stadium, Moshi.
What's at stake. Polisi Tanzania FC are 9th on 12 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Coastal Union, level on points with Mashujaa. A win would take them above Coastal Union. Geita Gold FC are 12th on 9 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Mbeya City, 1 point clear of Tabora United. A win would take them above Mbeya City.
Form. Polisi Tanzania FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. In this competition Polisi Tanzania FC have gone L D D L W L. Geita Gold FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L. In this competition Geita Gold FC have gone D D L L L L.
The numbers. Polisi Tanzania FC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Polisi Tanzania FC average 4.3 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Geita Gold FC score 0.3 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Geita Gold FC average 4.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Polisi Tanzania FC have won none, drawn one and lost three. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 20 Jan 2023, it finished Polisi Tanzania FC 1-1 Geita Gold FC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Polisi Tanzania FC the likelier winners, but Polisi Tanzania FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Geita Gold FC.
The case against. Geita Gold FC's record still gives them 30% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Polisi Tanzania FC or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Polisi Tanzania FC the likelier winners; Polisi Tanzania FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Geita Gold FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, 73% on the records (Polisi Tanzania FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Geita Gold FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Backup: Polisi Tanzania FC or Both Teams Score at 1.27. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Polisi Tanzania FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Polisi Tanzania FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Polisi Tanzania FC 1-1 Geita Gold FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).