Match details. Thai League 1, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Rayong Province Stadium.
What's at stake. Rayong FC are 11th on 8 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Sukhothai FC, 1 point clear of Lamphun Warrior. A win would take them above Sukhothai FC. Lamphun Warriors FC are 12th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Rayong FC, level on points with Pattani. A win would take them above Rayong FC.
Form. Rayong FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W. Lamphun Warriors FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L.
The numbers. Rayong FC score 1.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Rayong FC average 12.6 shots (4.9 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 37% of the ball. Lamphun Warriors FC score one and concede one a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Lamphun Warriors FC average 11.1 shots (4.8 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Rayong FC have won none, drawn two and lost four. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and Lamphun Warriors FC won two. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished Rayong FC 1-1 Lamphun Warriors FC: Rayong FC had 17 shots to 9, 59% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Rayong FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Lamphun Warriors FC: in the last six meetings, Lamphun Warriors FC won four and two were drawn. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 51%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Rayong FC 1-1 Lamphun Warriors FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).