Match details. National League, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. Eastern Suburbs Auckland AFC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. Southern United have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. Eastern Suburbs Auckland AFC score 3.2 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Southern United score 1.2 and concede 2.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and seven games without a goal.
The read. Eastern Suburbs Auckland AFC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Eastern Suburbs Auckland AFC the likelier winners; Eastern Suburbs Auckland AFC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Eastern Suburbs Auckland AFC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Eastern Suburbs Auckland AFC 3-0 Southern United (10% chance).
The agreed story. Eastern Suburbs Auckland AFC or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).