VGVIT

16:00Sun 1 Nov

SCV

Vitoria Guimaraes B vs SC Vianense

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Liga Portugal 3. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. Vitoria Guimaraes B have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D. SC Vianense have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W.

The numbers. Vitoria Guimaraes B score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Vitoria Guimaraes B average 14.9 shots (5.4 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game. SC Vianense score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. SC Vianense average 9.6 shots (4.9 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The case against. Vitoria Guimaraes B's record still gives them 24% to win.

The read. SC Vianense to win. Their goals for and against make SC Vianense the likelier winners; SC Vianense are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Vitoria Guimaraes B Under 1.5 goals (SC Vianense's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Vitoria Guimaraes B Over 0.5 Goals (Vitoria Guimaraes B's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Vitoria Guimaraes B 0-1 SC Vianense (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VIT 5 of 5 (100%) · SCV 6 of 7 (86%)91.2%

Vitoria Guimaraes B: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · SC Vianense: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Vitoria Guimaraes B: only games against sides at SC Vianense's level · SC Vianense: only games against sides at Vitoria Guimaraes B's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VIT 5 of 5 (100%) · SCV 6 of 7 (86%)91.2%

Vitoria Guimaraes B: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · SC Vianense: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Vitoria Guimaraes B: only games against sides at SC Vianense's level · SC Vianense: only games against sides at Vitoria Guimaraes B's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VIT 4 of 5 (80%) · SCV 6 of 7 (86%)84.5%

Vitoria Guimaraes B: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · SC Vianense: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Vitoria Guimaraes B: only games against sides at SC Vianense's level · SC Vianense: only games against sides at Vitoria Guimaraes B's level

SC VIANENSE GOALS

SC Vianense Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.45

VIT 5 of 7 (71%) · SCV 3 of 5 (60%)69%

SC Vianense scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Vitoria Guimaraes B conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 76% · SC Vianense: only games against sides at Vitoria Guimaraes B's level · Vitoria Guimaraes B: only games against sides at SC Vianense's level

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.41

VIT 4 of 5 (80%) · SCV 6 of 7 (86%)77.9%

Vitoria Guimaraes B: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · SC Vianense: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · on half-time scores · Vitoria Guimaraes B: only games against sides at SC Vianense's level · SC Vianense: only games against sides at Vitoria Guimaraes B's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VIT 4 of 5 (80%) · SCV 5 of 7 (71%)74%

Vitoria Guimaraes B's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · SC Vianense's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Vitoria Guimaraes B: only games against sides at SC Vianense's level · SC Vianense: only games against sides at Vitoria Guimaraes B's level

Left off the list: Vitoria Guimaraes B Under 1.5 goals (SC Vianense's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Vitoria Guimaraes B Over 0.5 Goals (Vitoria Guimaraes B's own games don't back it (2 of 5))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 10.6%

Vitoria Guimaraes B goals →

SC Vianense goals ↓

0-07%

1-06%

2-03%

3-01%

4-00.3%

5-00.1%

0-111%

1-112%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-210%

1-210%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-36%

1-36%

2-33%

3-30.9%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.9%

1-50.9%

2-50.4%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

VITORIA GUIMARAES BLDLLWDDLLW0.90 PPG

SC VIANENSEDWLWDWWDWL1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

VITORIA GUIMARAES B HOMExSC VIANENSE AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME2.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS40%6.00CORNERS A GAME4.602.60CARDS A GAME2.20

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.33POINTS A GAME1.29+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.14+5.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.81.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.06LEAGUE GAMES7

Vitoria Guimaraes B: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

70%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

34%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

83%

NO · 85/90

VITORIA GUIMARAES B OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

SC VIANENSE OR DRAW

65%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

VITORIA GUIMARAES BxSC VIANENSE

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.601.00CONCEDED A GAME2.202.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.840%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Vitoria Guimaraes B have scored in 60% of their games.

SC Vianense have scored in 80% of their games.

Vitoria Guimaraes B kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

SC Vianense kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards