LGLUS

16:00Sun 1 Nov

GDV

Lusitano GC vs GD Vitoria Sernache

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Liga Portugal 3. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. Lusitano GC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L. GD Vitoria Sernache have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L.

The numbers. Lusitano GC score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lusitano GC average 9.7 shots (2.9 on target), 5.8 corners and 3.1 cards a game. GD Vitoria Sernache score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. GD Vitoria Sernache average 8.0 shots (3.5 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.

The case against. GD Vitoria Sernache's record still gives them 28% to win.

The read. Lusitano GC to win. Their goals for and against make Lusitano GC the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Lusitano GC.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Lusitano GC 1-0 GD Vitoria Sernache (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LUS 5 of 5 (100%) · GDV 7 of 7 (100%)94.8%

Lusitano GC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · GD Vitoria Sernache: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Lusitano GC: only games against sides at GD Vitoria Sernache's level · GD Vitoria Sernache: only games against sides at Lusitano GC's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LUS 5 of 5 (100%) · GDV 6 of 7 (86%)92.2%

Lusitano GC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · GD Vitoria Sernache: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Lusitano GC: only games against sides at GD Vitoria Sernache's level · GD Vitoria Sernache: only games against sides at Lusitano GC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LUS 5 of 5 (100%) · GDV 5 of 7 (71%)87.3%

Lusitano GC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · GD Vitoria Sernache: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Lusitano GC: only games against sides at GD Vitoria Sernache's level · GD Vitoria Sernache: only games against sides at Lusitano GC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.34

LUS 3 of 5 (60%) · GDV 5 of 7 (71%)74.5%

Lusitano GC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · GD Vitoria Sernache: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · Lusitano GC: only games against sides at GD Vitoria Sernache's level · GD Vitoria Sernache: only games against sides at Lusitano GC's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LUS 5 of 5 (100%) · GDV 4 of 7 (57%)76.7%

Lusitano GC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · GD Vitoria Sernache: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · on half-time scores · Lusitano GC: only games against sides at GD Vitoria Sernache's level · GD Vitoria Sernache: only games against sides at Lusitano GC's level

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.41

LUS 4 of 5 (80%) · GDV 5 of 7 (71%)73.5%

Lusitano GC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · GD Vitoria Sernache: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · on half-time scores · Lusitano GC: only games against sides at GD Vitoria Sernache's level · GD Vitoria Sernache: only games against sides at Lusitano GC's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LUS 3 of 5 (60%) · GDV 4 of 7 (57%)59.7%

Lusitano GC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · GD Vitoria Sernache: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · on half-time scores · Lusitano GC: only games against sides at GD Vitoria Sernache's level · GD Vitoria Sernache: only games against sides at Lusitano GC's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LUS 4 of 5 (80%) · GDV 5 of 7 (71%)75.3%

Lusitano GC's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · GD Vitoria Sernache's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Lusitano GC: only games against sides at GD Vitoria Sernache's level · GD Vitoria Sernache: only games against sides at Lusitano GC's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10%

Lusitano GC goals →

GD Vitoria Sernache goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

LUSITANO GCWLLDWLLDLD0.90 PPG

GD VITORIA SERNACHELDLWLLWWWL1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LUSITANO GC HOMExGD VITORIA SERNACHE AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.101.40CONCEDED A GAME1.6010%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.80CORNERS A GAME3.703.10CARDS A GAME2.60

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

65%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

LUSITANO GC OR DRAW

83%

OKAY · 80/85

GD VITORIA SERNACHE OR DRAW

48%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Lusitano GC have scored in 50% of their games.

GD Vitoria Sernache have scored in 70% of their games.

Lusitano GC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

GD Vitoria Sernache kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards