Match details. Serie D, Group I. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. SSD Nissa FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L. ASD Castrumfavara have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L.
The numbers. SSD Nissa FC score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. SSD Nissa FC average 1.0 corners and 5.0 cards a game. ASD Castrumfavara score 0.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SSD Nissa FC 1-1 ASD Castrumfavara (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).