Match details. Serie D, Group G. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Budoni Calcio have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. Certosa Vigor Campagnano have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D W.
The numbers. Budoni Calcio score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Budoni Calcio average 1.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Certosa Vigor Campagnano score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Certosa Vigor Campagnano average 13.3 shots (5.0 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The case against. Budoni Calcio's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Certosa Vigor Campagnano to win. An open game. Certosa Vigor Campagnano are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Certosa Vigor Campagnano. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Certosa Vigor Campagnano or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Budoni Calcio 1-2 Certosa Vigor Campagnano (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).