Match details. Serie D, Group F. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. US Recanatese have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. SC Trestina have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W.
The numbers. US Recanatese score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. US Recanatese average 8.5 shots (2.5 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game. SC Trestina score none and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. SC Trestina average 3.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: US Recanatese or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); US Recanatese or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); US Recanatese or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: US Recanatese 1-1 SC Trestina (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).