Match details. Serie D, Group F. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Santegidiese Calcio have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. Termoli have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W.
The numbers. Santegidiese Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Santegidiese Calcio average 10.3 shots (4.7 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Termoli score 0.5 and concede one a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Termoli or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Termoli Over 0.5 Goals (Termoli's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Santegidiese Calcio 1-1 Termoli (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).