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ITALY - SERIE D, GROUP E
US Follonica Gavorrano crestUFUSF
14:30Sun 1 Nov
SCAScandicci crestSCA

US Follonica Gavorrano vs Scandicci

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group E. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.

Form. US Follonica Gavorrano have won four, drawn six and lost none of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D W. Scandicci have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D.

The numbers. US Follonica Gavorrano score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. US Follonica Gavorrano average 5.0 corners and 6.0 cards a game. Scandicci score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Scandicci average 11.0 shots (5.0 on target), 4.7 corners and 3.2 cards a game.

The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: US Follonica Gavorrano or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); US Follonica Gavorrano or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); US Follonica Gavorrano or Both Teams Score (the call is a draw). Predicted score: US Follonica Gavorrano 1-1 Scandicci (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USF 5 of 5 (100%) · SCA 8 of 9 (89%)94.9%
US Follonica Gavorrano: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Scandicci: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at Scandicci's level · Scandicci: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USF 5 of 5 (100%) · SCA 7 of 9 (78%)87.4%
US Follonica Gavorrano: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Scandicci: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at Scandicci's level · Scandicci: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USF 3 of 5 (60%) · SCA 5 of 9 (56%)53.4%
US Follonica Gavorrano: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Scandicci: both scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at Scandicci's level · Scandicci: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level
US FOLLONICA GAVORRANO GOALS
US Follonica Gavorrano Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USF 5 of 5 (100%) · SCA 6 of 9 (67%)76.9%
US Follonica Gavorrano scored in 5 of 5 at home · Scandicci conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at Scandicci's level · Scandicci: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level
SCANDICCI GOALS
Scandicci Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USF 7 of 9 (78%) · SCA 3 of 5 (60%)68.6%
Scandicci scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Follonica Gavorrano conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 72% · Scandicci: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at Scandicci's level
Left off the list: US Follonica Gavorrano or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); US Follonica Gavorrano or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); US Follonica Gavorrano or Both Teams Score (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); US Follonica Gavorrano or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.1%
US Follonica Gavorrano goals →
Scandicci goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
US FOLLONICA GAVORRANODWDWWWDDDD1.80 PPG
SCANDICCILDLWWDWDLW1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
US FOLLONICA GAVORRANO HOMExSCANDICCI AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.500.90CONCEDED A GAME1.3030%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.00CORNERS A GAME4.676.00CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.75POINTS A GAME1.75+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.62–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.31.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.08LEAGUE GAMES8
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
83%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
25%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
US FOLLONICA GAVORRANO OR DRAW
80%
OKAY · 80/85
SCANDICCI OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
US FOLLONICA GAVORRANOxSCANDICCI
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME0.802.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%100%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
US Follonica Gavorrano have scored in 100% of their games.
Scandicci have scored in 70% of their games.
US Follonica Gavorrano kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Scandicci kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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