Match details. Serie D, Group E. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Asd Grassina have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D. Rondinella Marzocco Ssd have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L.
The numbers. Asd Grassina score 1.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Asd Grassina average 10.0 shots (3.8 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Rondinella Marzocco Ssd score 0.7 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Rondinella Marzocco Ssd average 10.4 shots (4.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Rondinella Marzocco Ssd or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Rondinella Marzocco Ssd or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Rondinella Marzocco Ssd or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Asd Grassina 1-1 Rondinella Marzocco Ssd (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).