Match details. Serie D, Group E. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. AC Prato 1908 have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W. Mezzolara Calcio have won one, drawn seven and lost two of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D D.
The numbers. AC Prato 1908 score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. AC Prato 1908 average 13.3 shots (4.8 on target), 9.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Mezzolara Calcio score one and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 31%.
The read. No firm call: AC Prato 1908 are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AC Prato 1908 the likelier winners; AC Prato 1908 are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AC Prato 1908 1-1 Mezzolara Calcio (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).