Match details. Serie D, Group D. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Pavia Calcio 1911 have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L. Pro Patria Busto Arsizio have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W.
The numbers. Pavia Calcio 1911 score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Pavia Calcio 1911 average 6.6 shots (2.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.8 cards a game. Pro Patria Busto Arsizio score 2.3 and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Pro Patria Busto Arsizio average 17.3 shots (5.7 on target), 6.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Pro Patria Busto Arsizio or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Pro Patria Busto Arsizio or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Pavia Calcio 1911 1-1 Pro Patria Busto Arsizio (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).