Match details. Serie D, Group D. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Correggese Calcio 1948 have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W W. Tropical Coriano have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D.
The numbers. Correggese Calcio 1948 score one and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Correggese Calcio 1948 average 7.5 shots (2.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Tropical Coriano score 0.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Tropical Coriano average 9.8 shots (3.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The case against. Tropical Coriano's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Correggese Calcio 1948 to win. Their goals for and against make Correggese Calcio 1948 the likelier winners; Correggese Calcio 1948 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Correggese Calcio 1948.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Correggese Calcio 1948 1-0 Tropical Coriano (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).