Match details. Serie D, Group D. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. ASD Varesina Calcio have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D L. Varese FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L.
The numbers. ASD Varesina Calcio score one and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. ASD Varesina Calcio average 8.0 shots (2.2 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Varese FC score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Varese FC average 9.0 shots (3.7 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Varese FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Varese FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: ASD Varesina Calcio 1-1 Varese FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).