Virtus Verona vs Milan Futuro
Match details. Serie D, Group B. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Virtus Verona have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L. Milan Futuro have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W.
The numbers. Virtus Verona score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Virtus Verona average 7.5 shots (2.8 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Milan Futuro score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Milan Futuro average 10.2 shots (3.7 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The case against. Virtus Verona's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Milan Futuro to win. Their goals for and against make Milan Futuro the likelier winners; Milan Futuro are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Virtus Verona 0-2 Milan Futuro (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).