Match details. Serie D, Group B. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Tritium Calcio 1908 have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D L. AC Leon have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W.
The numbers. Tritium Calcio 1908 score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Tritium Calcio 1908 average 2.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. AC Leon score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. AC Leon average 10.6 shots (4.2 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AC Leon or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); AC Leon or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); AC Leon or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Tritium Calcio 1908 1-1 AC Leon (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).