Match details. Serie D, Group B, Group B - 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Calcio Pavonese are 10th on 12 points after 9 games, level on points with Virtus Verona, 1 point clear of Pro Palazzolo. A win would take them above Virtus Verona. Pro Palazzolo are 11th on 11 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Pavonese, 1 point clear of Scanzorosciate. A win would take them above Pavonese.
Form. Calcio Pavonese have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W. Pro Palazzolo have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D.
The numbers. Calcio Pavonese score 0.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Calcio Pavonese average 10.3 shots (2.7 on target), 6.3 corners and 0.7 cards a game. Pro Palazzolo score one and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Pro Palazzolo average 3.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Calcio Pavonese 1-1 Pro Palazzolo (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).