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ITALY - SERIE D, GROUP A
HSL Derthona crestHDHSL
14:30Sun 1 Nov
GSDGsd Lascaris crestGL

HSL Derthona vs Gsd Lascaris

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group A, Group A - 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. HSL Derthona are 9th on 13 points after 9 games, level on points with Gozzano, level on points with Sanremese. A win would take them above Gozzano. Gsd Lascaris are 13th on 11 points after 9 games, level on points with Saluzzo, 1 point clear of Bra. A win would take them above Saluzzo.

Form. HSL Derthona have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L D. Gsd Lascaris have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L.

The numbers. HSL Derthona score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. HSL Derthona average 9.0 shots (5.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Gsd Lascaris score 0.6 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Gsd Lascaris average 6.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game.

The case against. Gsd Lascaris's record still gives them 28% to win.

The read. HSL Derthona to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make HSL Derthona the likelier winners; HSL Derthona are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: HSL Derthona 1-0 Gsd Lascaris (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
HSL Derthona or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HSL 7 of 9 (78%) · GSD 9 of 9 (100%)88.9%
HSL Derthona: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Gsd Lascaris: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at Gsd Lascaris's level · Gsd Lascaris: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HSL 8 of 9 (89%) · GSD 9 of 9 (100%)96.3%
HSL Derthona: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Gsd Lascaris: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at Gsd Lascaris's level · Gsd Lascaris: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HSL 7 of 9 (78%) · GSD 9 of 9 (100%)90.1%
HSL Derthona: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Gsd Lascaris: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at Gsd Lascaris's level · Gsd Lascaris: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HSL 6 of 9 (67%) · GSD 9 of 9 (100%)77.3%
HSL Derthona: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Gsd Lascaris: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at Gsd Lascaris's level · Gsd Lascaris: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.63
HSL 6 of 9 (67%) · GSD 7 of 9 (78%)56.2%
HSL Derthona: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Gsd Lascaris: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at Gsd Lascaris's level · Gsd Lascaris: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level
HSL DERTHONA GOALS
HSL Derthona Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HSL 7 of 9 (78%) · GSD 6 of 9 (67%)76%
HSL Derthona scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Gsd Lascaris conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at Gsd Lascaris's level · Gsd Lascaris: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 11.8%
HSL Derthona goals →
Gsd Lascaris goals ↓
0-010%
1-012%
2-09%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
HSL DERTHONALWDWWDLLDD1.30 PPG
GSD LASCARISLLWWDLDWLL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
HSL DERTHONA HOMExGSD LASCARIS AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME0.601.30CONCEDED A GAME1.1040%CLEAN SHEETS30%22%FAILED TO SCORE33%6.00CORNERS A GAME6.002.00CARDS A GAME4.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.44POINTS A GAME1.17-0.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.33–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.89LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
40%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
22%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
HSL DERTHONA OR DRAW
65%
NO · 80/85
GSD LASCARIS OR DRAW
64%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HSL DERTHONAxGSD LASCARIS
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.601.60CONCEDED A GAME1.202.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
HSL Derthona have scored in 80% of their games.
Gsd Lascaris have scored in 60% of their games.
HSL Derthona kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Gsd Lascaris kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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