Match details. Serie D, Group A, Group A - 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Celle Varazze are 18th on 1 point after 9 games, 4 points behind Valenzana. Valenzana Mado are 17th on 5 points after 9 games, 4 points behind Sestri Levante, 4 points clear of Celle Varazze.
Form. Celle Varazze have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. Valenzana Mado have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W.
The numbers. Celle Varazze score 0.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Celle Varazze average 11.0 shots (2.5 on target), 3.2 corners and 4.2 cards a game. Valenzana Mado score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Celle Varazze have won none, drawn two and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 8 Feb 2026, it finished Celle Varazze 2-2 Valenzana Mado.
The case against. Celle Varazze's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Valenzana Mado to win. A tight game. Valenzana Mado are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Valenzana Mado. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Valenzana Mado or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Valenzana Mado or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Celle Varazze 0-1 Valenzana Mado (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).