Match details. Serie D, Group A, Group A - 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Borgosesia Calcio are 11th on 12 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Sanremese, 1 point clear of Saluzzo. A win would take them above Sanremese. US Alessandria Calcio 1912 are 1st on 24 points after 9 games, 7 points clear of Chisola.
Form. Borgosesia Calcio have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. US Alessandria Calcio 1912 have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. Borgosesia Calcio score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. US Alessandria Calcio 1912 score two and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. US Alessandria Calcio 1912 average 12.7 shots (6.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 0.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The case against. Borgosesia Calcio's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. US Alessandria Calcio 1912 to win. US Alessandria Calcio 1912 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour US Alessandria Calcio 1912.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: US Alessandria Calcio 1912 or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Borgosesia Calcio 0-1 US Alessandria Calcio 1912 (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).