BIEBIE

14:30Sun 1 Nov

ASD

Biellese vs Asd Millesimo

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group A, Group A - 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Biellese are 3rd on 17 points after 9 games, level on points with Chisola, 1 point clear of Millesimo. A win would take them above Chisola. Asd Millesimo are 4th on 16 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Biellese, level on points with Ligorna. A win would take them above Biellese.

Form. Biellese have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. Asd Millesimo have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L.

The numbers. Biellese score three and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Biellese average 10.3 shots (4.3 on target), 2.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Asd Millesimo score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Asd Millesimo average 12.7 shots (6.3 on target), 6.7 corners and 0.7 cards a game.

The case against. Asd Millesimo's record still gives them 40% to win.

The read. Biellese to win. An open game. Biellese are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Biellese. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Asd Millesimo or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Biellese); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Asd Millesimo or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Biellese). Predicted score: Biellese 2-1 Asd Millesimo (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Biellese or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BIE 8 of 8 (100%) · ASD 9 of 9 (100%)100%

Biellese: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Asd Millesimo: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Biellese: only games against sides at Asd Millesimo's level · Asd Millesimo: only games against sides at Biellese's level

Biellese or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BIE 6 of 8 (75%) · ASD 7 of 9 (78%)76.4%

Biellese: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Asd Millesimo: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Biellese: only games against sides at Asd Millesimo's level · Asd Millesimo: only games against sides at Biellese's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BIE 8 of 8 (100%) · ASD 9 of 9 (100%)92.8%

Biellese: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Asd Millesimo: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Biellese: only games against sides at Asd Millesimo's level · Asd Millesimo: only games against sides at Biellese's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BIE 7 of 8 (88%) · ASD 7 of 9 (78%)76.2%

Biellese: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Asd Millesimo: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Biellese: only games against sides at Asd Millesimo's level · Asd Millesimo: only games against sides at Biellese's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.81

BIE 5 of 8 (62%) · ASD 4 of 9 (44%)51.2%

Biellese: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Asd Millesimo: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 53% · Biellese: only games against sides at Asd Millesimo's level · Asd Millesimo: only games against sides at Biellese's level

Left off the list: Asd Millesimo or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Biellese); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Asd Millesimo or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Biellese); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.9%

Biellese goals →

Asd Millesimo goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-07%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41.0%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BIELLESEWWDWWWLWLL1.90 PPG

ASD MILLESIMOLWWLWLLWWD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BIELLESE HOMExASD MILLESIMO AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME1.801.40CONCEDED A GAME1.2010%CLEAN SHEETS30%11%FAILED TO SCORE33%2.67CORNERS A GAME6.673.00CARDS A GAME0.67

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.89POINTS A GAME1.86+0.78GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.29–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 85/90

BIELLESE OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

ASD MILLESIMO OR DRAW

32%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BIELLESExASD MILLESIMO

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME2.001.40CONCEDED A GAME0.603.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Biellese have scored in 80% of their games.

Asd Millesimo have scored in 70% of their games.

Biellese kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Asd Millesimo kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards