PCPAG

14:00Sun 1 Nov

POL

Paganese Calcio vs Polisportiva Ossese

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group G, Group G - 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani.

What's at stake. Paganese Calcio are 7th on 13 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Afragolese, level on points with Unipomezia. A win would take them above Afragolese. Polisportiva Ossese are 9th on 13 points after 9 games, level on points with Unipomezia, level on points with Albalonga. A win would take them above Unipomezia.

Form. Paganese Calcio have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L. Polisportiva Ossese have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W D.

The numbers. Paganese Calcio score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Paganese Calcio average 12.0 shots (4.0 on target), 2.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Polisportiva Ossese score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Polisportiva Ossese average 5.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 56% against the records' 33%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.

The read. No firm call: Paganese Calcio are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Paganese Calcio the likelier winners; Paganese Calcio are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Paganese Calcio 1-1 Polisportiva Ossese (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAG 8 of 9 (89%) · POL 9 of 9 (100%)95%

Paganese Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Polisportiva Ossese: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at Polisportiva Ossese's level · Polisportiva Ossese: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAG 8 of 9 (89%) · POL 9 of 9 (100%)92%

Paganese Calcio: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Polisportiva Ossese: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at Polisportiva Ossese's level · Polisportiva Ossese: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAG 6 of 9 (67%) · POL 9 of 9 (100%)87.7%

Paganese Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Polisportiva Ossese: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at Polisportiva Ossese's level · Polisportiva Ossese: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level

POLISPORTIVA OSSESE GOALS

Polisportiva Ossese Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAG 8 of 9 (89%) · POL 7 of 9 (78%)67.3%

Polisportiva Ossese scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Paganese Calcio conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Polisportiva Ossese: only games against sides at Paganese Calcio's level · Paganese Calcio: only games against sides at Polisportiva Ossese's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

Paganese Calcio goals →

Polisportiva Ossese goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

PAGANESE CALCIOWWDWLLDWLL1.40 PPG

POLISPORTIVA OSSESELWWDLDWDLD1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PAGANESE CALCIO HOMExPOLISPORTIVA OSSESE AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME1.401.30CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS30%22%FAILED TO SCORE11%2.67CORNERS A GAME5.002.00CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.62POINTS A GAME1.43+0.88GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.43–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

60%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

PAGANESE CALCIO OR DRAW

81%

OKAY · 80/85

POLISPORTIVA OSSESE OR DRAW

44%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PAGANESE CALCIOxPOLISPORTIVA OSSESE

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.401.20CONCEDED A GAME1.403.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Paganese Calcio have scored in 80% of their games.

Polisportiva Ossese have scored in 90% of their games.

Paganese Calcio kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Polisportiva Ossese kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards