FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers
Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 07:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu.
What's at stake. FC Tokyo are 1st on 30 points after 13 games, 1 point clear of Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Kashima Antlers are 6th on 23 points after 13 games, 3 points behind Vissel Kobe, 1 point clear of Kawasaki Frontale. A win would take them level on points with Vissel Kobe.
Form. FC Tokyo have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W. In this competition FC Tokyo have gone W W D W W W. Kashima Antlers have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W. In this competition Kashima Antlers have gone W L D W W D.
The numbers. FC Tokyo score 2.4 and concede none a game in their last five at home, with five clean sheets. FC Tokyo average 18.1 shots (6.1 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Kashima Antlers score two and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Kashima Antlers average 15.1 shots (4.9 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings FC Tokyo have won three, drawn one and lost five. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Kashima Antlers won four. The last time they met, on 23 May 2026, it finished FC Tokyo 0-1 Kashima Antlers: FC Tokyo had 17 shots to 7, 50% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: FC Tokyo are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour FC Tokyo; the meetings favour Kashima Antlers. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Kashima Antlers's record still gives them 31% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. FC Tokyo or the draw. A tight game. FC Tokyo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Tokyo; the meetings favour Kashima Antlers. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: 1X2 - 2UP: FC Tokyo (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: FC Tokyo 1-1 Kashima Antlers (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).