Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Toyota Stadium.
What's at stake. Nagoya Grampus are 11th on 14 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Fagiano Okayama, level on points with Cerezo Osaka. A win would take them above Fagiano Okayama. Kyoto Sanga FC are 14th on 13 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Shimizu S-pulse, 1 point clear of V-varen Nagasaki. A win would take them above Shimizu S-pulse.
Form. Nagoya Grampus have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W. In this competition Nagoya Grampus have gone L D D W W L. Kyoto Sanga FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L L. In this competition Kyoto Sanga FC have gone W D D L L W.
The numbers. Nagoya Grampus score 1.1 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Nagoya Grampus average 13.8 shots (3.5 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Kyoto Sanga FC score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Kyoto Sanga FC average 10.8 shots (3.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Nagoya Grampus have won three, drawn three and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Nagoya Grampus won one, one was drawn and Kyoto Sanga FC won two. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Kyoto Sanga FC: Nagoya Grampus had 14 shots to 9, 38% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kyoto Sanga FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).