Madura United vs Arema FC
Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan.
What's at stake. Madura United are 5th on 16 points after 8 games, level on points with Persib Bandung, 1 point clear of Persita. A win would take them above Persib Bandung. Arema FC are 11th on 9 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Persik Kediri, level on points with Pusamania Borneo. A win would take them above Persik Kediri.
Form. Madura United have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L. Arema FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. Madura United score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Madura United average 9.7 shots (4.2 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Arema FC score 2.4 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Arema FC average 11.1 shots (5.6 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Madura United have won two, drawn five and lost three. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Madura United won one, two were drawn and Arema FC won one. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished Madura United 2-2 Arema FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Arema FC's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The read. Madura United to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Madura United the likelier winners; Madura United are the stronger side on form and the table. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Arema FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.56, 70% on the records (Arema FC scored under 1.5 in 2 of 5; Madura United conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Madura United or Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Madura United 1-0 Arema FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).