Match details. J2 League. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 06:00 Lagos time.
Form. Ventforet Kofu have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W. Albirex Niigata have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D.
The numbers. Ventforet Kofu score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ventforet Kofu average 4.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Albirex Niigata score 1.5 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Albirex Niigata average 3.5 corners and 0.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The read. Albirex Niigata to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Albirex Niigata are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Albirex Niigata. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27, 73% on the records (Ventforet Kofu: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Albirex Niigata: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ventforet Kofu 0-1 Albirex Niigata (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).