Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu

Match details. Jp2, Regular Season - 15. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Lemon Gas Stadium, Hiratsuka.

What's at stake. Shonan Bellmare are 7th on 22 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Tegevajaro Miyazaki, 2 points clear of Iwaki. A win would take them above Tegevajaro Miyazaki. Sagan Tosu are 13th on 17 points after 14 games, level on points with Blaublitz Akita, level on points with Tokushima Vortis. A win would take them above Blaublitz Akita.

Form. Shonan Bellmare have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D. In this competition Shonan Bellmare have gone L W D D D D. Sagan Tosu have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. In this competition Sagan Tosu have gone L W L W W L.

The numbers. Shonan Bellmare score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Shonan Bellmare average 13.0 shots (3.2 on target), 7.2 corners and 0.7 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Sagan Tosu score 0.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Sagan Tosu average 13.4 shots (2.9 on target), 6.2 corners and 0.9 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Shonan Bellmare have won four, drawn three and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Shonan Bellmare won two and Sagan Tosu won two. The last time they met, on 6 Jun 2026, it finished Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Sagan Tosu.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 34% against the records' 59%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The read. No firm call: Shonan Bellmare are the better side, but not at this price. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Shonan Bellmare the likelier winners; Shonan Bellmare are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Shonan Bellmare. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, 76% on the records (Shonan Bellmare: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Sagan Tosu: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Sagan Tosu (13% chance).