KTKAT

05:55Tue 3 Nov

VEG

Kataller Toyama vs Vegalta Sendai

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. J2 League, Regular Season - 15. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 05:55 Lagos time. It is played at Toyama Stadium.

Form. Kataller Toyama have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D. Vegalta Sendai have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W.

The numbers. Kataller Toyama score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Kataller Toyama average 6.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Vegalta Sendai score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Vegalta Sendai average 5.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.

The read. Vegalta Sendai or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Kataller Toyama are the stronger side on form and the table. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Vegalta Sendai or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Vegalta Sendai 1UP (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kataller Toyama 1-1 Vegalta Sendai (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Vegalta Sendai or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.38

KAT 7 of 9 (78%) · VEG 4 of 5 (80%)71.8%

Vegalta Sendai: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kataller Toyama: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 67% · Vegalta Sendai: only games against sides at Kataller Toyama's level · Kataller Toyama: only games against sides at Vegalta Sendai's level

Double Chance: Draw or Vegalta SendaiLEANPAGE ONLY

1.43

KAT 7 of 9 (78%) · VEG 5 of 5 (100%)61.1%

Vegalta Sendai unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kataller Toyama failed to win 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 67% · Vegalta Sendai: only games against sides at Kataller Toyama's level · Kataller Toyama: only games against sides at Vegalta Sendai's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.19

KAT 4 of 5 (80%) · VEG 9 of 9 (100%)85%

Kataller Toyama: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Vegalta Sendai: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Kataller Toyama: only games against sides at Vegalta Sendai's level · Vegalta Sendai: only games against sides at Kataller Toyama's level

Under 3.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.49

KAT 4 of 5 (80%) · VEG 7 of 9 (78%)69.5%

Kataller Toyama: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Vegalta Sendai: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Kataller Toyama: only games against sides at Vegalta Sendai's level · Vegalta Sendai: only games against sides at Kataller Toyama's level

VEGALTA SENDAI GOALS

Vegalta Sendai Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.22

KAT 8 of 9 (89%) · VEG 4 of 5 (80%)69.3%

Vegalta Sendai scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Kataller Toyama conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 78% · Vegalta Sendai: only games against sides at Kataller Toyama's level · Kataller Toyama: only games against sides at Vegalta Sendai's level

Left off the list: Vegalta Sendai or draw and under 3.5 goals (the numbers (42%) and the records (62%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Vegalta Sendai 1UP (the numbers (49%) and the records (56%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Vegalta Sendai or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (65%) and the records (90%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.8%

Kataller Toyama goals →

Vegalta Sendai goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-07%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

KATALLER TOYAMAWLWDDWLDWD1.60 PPG

VEGALTA SENDAILLWDWWWWDL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

KATALLER TOYAMA HOMExVEGALTA SENDAI AWAY

1.86SCORED A GAME1.641.00CONCEDED A GAME0.9330%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.43CORNERS A GAME5.501.50CARDS A GAME1.64

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.79POINTS A GAME1.93+0.86GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.71+4.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+6.51.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.414LEAGUE GAMES14

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

81%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

52%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

87%

OKAY · 85/90

KATALLER TOYAMA OR DRAW

45%

NO · 80/85

VEGALTA SENDAI OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

KATALLER TOYAMAxVEGALTA SENDAI

7GAMES71.57SCORED A GAME1.711.29CONCEDED A GAME0.862.9GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.671%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%43%OVER 2.5 GOALS43%57%BOTH SCORE43%1.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.412.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Kataller Toyama have scored in 80% of their games.

Vegalta Sendai have scored in 90% of their games.

Kataller Toyama kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Vegalta Sendai kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards