Shabana FC vs Kenya Police FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 14:15 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Shabana FC are 6th on 6 points after 4 games, level on points with AFC Leopards, 1 point clear of APS Bomet. A win would take them above AFC Leopards. Kenya Police FC are 8th on 5 points after 4 games, level on points with APS Bomet, level on points with Mathare United. A win would take them above APS Bomet.
Form. Shabana FC have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W L. Kenya Police FC have won two, drawn seven and lost one of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D D.
The numbers. Shabana FC score 0.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Shabana FC average 9.9 shots (2.4 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.1 cards a game. Kenya Police FC score 0.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Kenya Police FC average 8.0 shots (3.6 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Shabana FC have won two, drawn two and lost three. None of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Shabana FC won one, one was drawn and Kenya Police FC won two. The last time they met, on 2 May 2026, it finished Shabana FC 0-1 Kenya Police FC.
The read. Kenya Police FC or the draw. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 11%. Seven of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.11, 80% on the records (Shabana FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Kenya Police FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: Kenya Police FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Kenya Police FC Over 0.5 goals (Kenya Police FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Shabana FC 1-1 Kenya Police FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).