Posta Rangers FC vs 3K FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Posta Rangers FC are 12th on 4 points after 4 games, level on points with Homeboyz, 1 point clear of Tusker. A win would take them above Homeboyz. 3K FC are 10th on 5 points after 4 games, level on points with Mathare United, 1 point clear of Homeboyz. A win would take them above Mathare United.
Form. Posta Rangers FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. 3K FC have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D.
The numbers. Posta Rangers FC score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Posta Rangers FC average 7.8 shots (2.4 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game. 3K FC score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. 3K FC average 10.3 shots (3.2 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. 3K FC's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Posta Rangers FC or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. 3K FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17, 76% on the records (Posta Rangers FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; 3K FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Posta Rangers FC or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Posta Rangers FC 1-1 3K FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).