Ulinzi Stars FC vs Mathare United FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 11:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Ulinzi Stars FC are 17th on 2 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Bandari, 1 point clear of Mombasa Elite. A win would take them above Bandari. Mathare United FC are 9th on 5 points after 4 games, level on points with Kenya Police, level on points with 3K. A win would take them above Kenya Police.
Form. Ulinzi Stars FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. Mathare United FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D W.
The numbers. Ulinzi Stars FC score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ulinzi Stars FC average 9.8 shots (3.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Mathare United FC score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mathare United FC average 7.0 shots (2.8 on target), 3.7 corners and 0.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Ulinzi Stars FC have won four, drawn two and lost three. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Ulinzi Stars FC won one, one was drawn and Mathare United FC won two. The last time they met, on 23 May 2026, it finished Ulinzi Stars FC 2-1 Mathare United FC.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.12, 79% on the records (Ulinzi Stars FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Mathare United FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Mathare United FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Mathare United FC 1UP (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ulinzi Stars FC 1-1 Mathare United FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).