Match details. Copa DIMAYOR, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 02:15 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Independiente Santa Fe have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. In this competition Independiente Santa Fe have gone D. CD Once Caldas have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W W.
The numbers. Independiente Santa Fe score 1.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Independiente Santa Fe average 15.3 shots (5.7 on target), 4.7 corners and 3.5 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. CD Once Caldas score one and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. CD Once Caldas average 15.1 shots (6.5 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Independiente Santa Fe have won six, drawn three and lost one. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Independiente Santa Fe won one, two were drawn and CD Once Caldas won one. The last time they met, on 3 Aug 2026, it finished Independiente Santa Fe 2-2 CD Once Caldas.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Independiente Santa Fe or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CD Once Caldas or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Independiente Santa Fe 1-1 CD Once Caldas (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).