Naxxar Lions FC vs Gudja United
Match details. Mt2. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. Naxxar Lions FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. Gudja United have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. Naxxar Lions FC score 1.3 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Naxxar Lions FC average 7.4 shots (3.1 on target), 3.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Gudja United score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Gudja United average 10.1 shots (4.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Naxxar Lions FC have won two, drawn none and lost one. Three of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 76% against the records' 55%.
The read. No firm call: Naxxar Lions FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Naxxar Lions FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Naxxar Lions FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%. Three of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Naxxar Lions FC to Win (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Naxxar Lions FC 1-2 Gudja United (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).