Match details. Eredivisie, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:45 Lagos time.
Form. PSV Eindhoven have won four, drawn none and lost two of their last six league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W L L. SC Heerenveen have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D W D W.
The numbers. PSV Eindhoven score three and concede 1.3 a game over their last six, with three clean sheets. PSV Eindhoven average 8.8 shots (5.5 on target), 5.3 corners and 0.0 cards a game. SC Heerenveen score 1.2 and concede three a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. SC Heerenveen average 10.4 shots (6.6 on target), 3.2 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 93% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: PSV Eindhoven are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make PSV Eindhoven the likelier winners; PSV Eindhoven are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour PSV Eindhoven. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 88%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.22, rated 88% (PSV Eindhoven: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 6; SC Heerenveen: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: PSV Eindhoven 2-1 SC Heerenveen (9% chance).
The agreed story. PSV Eindhoven or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. SC Heerenveen in their last cup games: won 2-0 at Excelsior Maassluis (3 divisions below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).