FUFCU

16:45Sun 1 Nov

DEG

FC Utrecht vs de Graafschap

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Eredivisie, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:45 Lagos time.

Form. FC Utrecht have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L L L. de Graafschap have won four, drawn none and lost four of their last eight league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L W L.

The numbers. FC Utrecht score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Utrecht average 7.0 shots (2.6 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game. de Graafschap score 1.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. de Graafschap average 5.7 shots (2.3 on target), 1.0 corners and 0.7 cards a game.

The case against. FC Utrecht's record still gives them 43% to win.

The read. de Graafschap to win. An open game. De Graafschap are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour de Graafschap. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Utrecht 1-2 de Graafschap (8% chance).

The agreed story. De Graafschap or the draw, an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. FC Utrecht in their last cup games: won 1-0 at Kozakken Boys Werkendam (2 divisions below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCU 5 of 5 (100%) · DEG 8 of 8 (100%)97%

FC Utrecht: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · de Graafschap: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at de Graafschap's level · de Graafschap: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level

DE GRAAFSCHAP GOALS

de Graafschap Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEG 6 of 8 (75%) · FCU 4 of 5 (80%)79.2%

de Graafschap scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Utrecht conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 82% · de Graafschap: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at de Graafschap's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (the numbers (84%) and the records (63%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 7.8%

FC Utrecht goals →

de Graafschap goals ↓

0-05%

1-06%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.5%

0-15%

1-111%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-25%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-32%

1-34%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.8%

5-30.3%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.7%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC UTRECHTWWLDLLLLLW1.00 PPG

DE GRAAFSCHAPLLWLLWLWW1.33 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC UTRECHT HOMExDE GRAAFSCHAP AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.331.60CONCEDED A GAME1.6710%CLEAN SHEETS33%2.80CORNERS A GAME1.001.00CARDS A GAME0.67

TRENDS

FC Utrecht have scored in 50% of their games.

de Graafschap have scored in 78% of their games.

FC Utrecht kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

de Graafschap kept a clean sheet in 33% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards